Raunaq Bhalla

Manager, Retail Provisions Quantitative Analytics @Scotiabank

Toronto, ON, CA
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WORK HISTORY

Jan 2024 — Present

Manager, Retail Provisions Quantitative Analytics @Scotiabank

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Toronto, ON, CA

Designed, tested, and implemented robust statistical codes for end-to-end Expected Credit Loss (ECL) generation, ensuring accuracy in provisioning methodologies across Canadian and International Banking (Panama, Costa Rica, Peru, Caribbean, and Chile) portfolios.• Led the integration of Forward-Looking Information (FLI) and Significant Increase in Credit Risk (SICR) into End-User-Code (EUC) ECL calculations, optimizing provisioning estimation for retail lending portfolios while ensuring compliance with IFRS 9 standards.• Conducted in-depth model variance investigations, refining Probability of Default (PD), Loss Given Default (LGD), and Exposure at Default (EAD) estimates to enhance credit risk assessment accuracy.• Partnered with IFRS 9 teams to validate model outputs, integrate FLI model results into impairment estimates, and ensure regulatory alignment through rigorous documentation and testing.• Conducted ECJ evaluations to refine provisioning estimates, incorporating expert insights into model adjustments to enhance risk assessment and regulatory alignment.

EDUCATION

N/A

The London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE)

Summer programme, Strategic Management

N/A

The indian school

CBSE 12, Science

2021 — 2022

University of Toronto - Rotman School of Management

Master of Science - MS, Management Analytics

N/A

The indian school

Class 10

2016 — 2020

Netaji Subhas Institute of Technology

Bachelor of Engineering - BE, Instrumentation and Control Engineering

ABOUT RAUNAQ BHALLA

Passionate about the intersection of data, risk, and financial strategy, I specialize in credit risk modeling, IFRS 9 provisioning, and advanced analytics to drive smarter, data-backed decision-making in banking. With a strong background in statistical modeling, machine learning, and financial analytics, I help institutions optimize provisioning, enhance risk assessment, and stay ahead of regulatory requirements.At Scotiabank, I work at the forefront of retail provisions analytics, designing and implementing end-to-end Expected Credit Loss (ECL) models for global portfolios. From integrating Forward-Looking Information (FLI) to conducting Expert Credit Judgment (ECJ) assessments, I translate complex risk metrics into actionable insights that strengthen financial resilience.

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Raunaq Bhalla — Manager, Retail Provisions Quantitative Analytics at Scotiabank in Toronto, ON, CA | Unifers